Recent Study: Finland Business Forecast Report Q4 2014

Core Views

* Over the short term, we believe that Finland's fiscal situation remains one of the most robust in Europe, and do not expect it to suffer from a ratings downgrade in the near future, expecting it to remain one of just four remaining countries in the eurozone to be awarded AAA status from all three major ratings agencies.
* However, over a longer time horizon, looming structural challenges pose a threat to public debt dynamics and may impede fiscal flexibility. Several key sectors, including forestry and papermaking, shipbuilding and telecommunications remain in terminal decline, while high labour costs are acting as a deterrent for investment and importers of Finnish goods, despite strong structural competitiveness. This has cast doubt over the government's ability to sustainably increase aggregate demand through fiscal stimulus.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes

* No major forecast changes this quarter.

Key Risks To Outlook

* A deeper than anticipated eurozone recession represents a severe downside risk to our export forecasts for Finland. While we are already pencilling in a significant slowdown, a eurozone real GDP contraction of 1% or greater could severely impinge upon Finland's highly integrated export market, weighing heavily on Finland's real GDP growth in 2013 and beyond as a consequence.
* While not our core view, due to the strong historical legacy of consensus-based political decision making in Finland, we do not rule out the possibility that the rise of the populist euro-sceptic parties could lead to more difficult domestic policy formation.

The Finland Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Finland and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Finland's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Finland's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Finland's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Finland, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Finland Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes four major sections:Economic Outlook,

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