New Market Research Report: China Power Report Q3 2014

China's power sector continues to be in a league of its own; and announcements by China Premier, Li Keqianq, that a series of large-scale power sector construction projects will be launched to 'stabilise growth and improve energy security' suggest that the sector will be benefit from China targeted stimulus approach. That said, with BMI's Country Risk analysts anticipating that the Chinese economy is likely to slow down further over the coming months, a slowdown in power demand appears to be on the cards. Meanwhile, the country is trying to ease its reliance on coal, focusing on cleaner forms of power generation. However, we still expect coal-fired capacity to grow in real terms and dominate the energy mix to the end of our forecast period.

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In terms of fuel mix, conventional thermal sources play a key role and are expected to continue to dominate electricity generation over the coming years, as many projects under construction or planned will use coal or gas and as Chinese efforts in prospecting and exploiting conventional oil and gas resources are set to increase. While other sources of power will play increasingly important roles, China will remain reliant on coal for its power generation over the next decade. Energy poverty is a key concern in the country and coal will remain the only realistic option for providing cheap and abundant energy for the local population over the medium term. Yet, rising coal prices are once again a key threat to the profitability of power generation companies operating in the domestic segment and Chinese utilities have placed collective pressure on the government to moderate proposed restrictions on imported coal, highlighting the difficulties China has in balancing the interests of its mining and power sectors as growth slows.

Aside from short-term considerations, and while it should be kept in mind that China will remain in a league of its own, macroeconomic and sector-specific factors also point to an equally...

The China Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The China Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for China to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.

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