New Market Research Report: Thailand Telecommunications Report Q4 2014

The military coup of May 2014 has cast a long shadow over Thailand's telecoms market and uncertainty is likely to prevail in the short term as the junta has arbitrarily cancelled a number of long-awaited initiatives, including the auction of 900/1800MHz spectrum. The state telecoms agencies TOT and CAT Telecom are taking the advantage of the situation to ensure that the next phase of market development is weighted more in their favour and have asked for priority access to 4G spectrum and assurances that private sector players use their under-utilised wireline infrastructure. China Mobile 's investment in True Corporation therefore comes as a surprise from a timing perspective but not from a business perspective as True remains the sector player most suited to long term survival .

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/879017_thailand_telecommunications_report_q4_2014.aspx?afid=301

Key Data

* Strong demand for 3G/4G services helped sustain subscription growth momentum in H114, although much of this is achieved through cannibalisation of the existing 2G market. We have made some modest changes to our five-year mobile sector forecast and expect there to be almost 103.1mn subscriptions by 2018.
* Price competition and aggressive marketing campaigns are exerting downwards pressure on mobile ARPU. Furthermore, declining SMS volumes are threatening operator revenues and margins, as subscribers adopt IP alternatives such as WhatsApp and Viber. ARPU is forecast to reach THB183 by 2018, down from THB204 in 2013.
* The fixed-line market is stagnating and we expect it will decline by an average of 3% a year over our five-year forecast period 2013-2018, bringing penetration down to 7.7% in 2018.

Key Trends And Developments

The key development in H114 was the military coup that saw the replacement of the elected government in May. The newly-installed junta was quick to curb usage of telecoms networks and services by potential dissenters during and after the coup and it is reluctant to cede control while it re-establishes law and order. In the...

The Thailand Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Thailand's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Thailand Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Thailand.

Key Benefits

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