Report Published: "Sudan & South Sudan Oil & Gas Report Q1 2015"

Fighting has derailed the country's fragile production recovery, adding further downside pressure to its bearish long-term production outlook. With the government claiming loose control of the major oil fields, output could start to revive within the quarter. However, given the fractured and volatile nature of the conflict and the heavy rebel presence in the oil-producing states, we anticipate more lasting production outages.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Sudan and South Sudan's oil and gas sectors are:

* Fighting rapidly spilled-over into the oil-producing states of Upper Nile and Unity. Production at Unity has been suspended since December, and output from Upper Nile substantially reduced. Although the government is claiming control of all the major oil fields, a heavy rebel presence in both states is continuing to disrupt supply routes. The evacuation of foreign workers has also left few technicians in place that are capable of maintaining production.
* In 2013, we estimate that production averaged 253,000 barrels per day (b/d) for Sudan and South Sudan. However, at 344,000b/d, output in the final quarter was significantly higher, as production recovered in the wake of a 14 month shut-in. In line with this trend, we had forecast output of around...

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/904315_sudan_south_sudan_oil_gas_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

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