Recent Study: Bosnia-Herzegovina Real Estate Report Q1 2015

The outcome of October 2014's general election is likely to have done little to ease investors' fears surrounding the stability of the Bosnia-Herzegovina commercial real estate sector. The country currently ranks bottom of BMI's Central and Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index, while economic growth has been largely stagnant over recent quarters. That said, we maintain that the real estate sector holds long-term potential for foreign investors.

The year 2014 has been difficult for the Bosnia-Herzegovina commercial real estate sector as a number of economic and political headwinds contrived to dent the country's already fragile reputation. First, severe flooding experienced during the middle of the year weighed heavily on output from the country's agricultural and industrial sectors. Added, to this, slowing growth in the country's main export markets including Germany, Italy, Croatia and Serbia, during the second half of the year placed further pressure on an already struggling Bosnian economy. Taking these factors into account, our Country Risk team estimate GDP growth to have been a slower-than-expected 0.2% in 2014, dashing expectations of an acceleration from 2013 levels.

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Furthermore, it was hoped that the October 2014 general elections would bring some much-needed relief to the ongoing political tensions that have plagued the country over the past few years. As it stands, the country's political future hangs in the balance with a prolonged period of coalition forming between the main party winners in each ethnic community expected over the coming months. With little immediate upside to Bosnia's economic and political troubles, the country was ranked the worst country in Europe for doing business in the World Bank's 2015 'Doing Business' report. Meanwhile, Bosnia also remains the bottom ranked nation in BMI's Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) Real Estate Risk/Reward Index for 2015. Given the current state of play, it is...

The Bosnia-Herzegovina Real Estate Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts of major construction projects in the residential and commercial markets, plus rental prices and yields in major cities. The report critically analyses the prospects for real estate within the broader economic and financial context - both domestic and global - via our econometrically-modelled and clearly explained banking and economic forecasts and follows this through to evaluate the implications for REITs.

BMI's Bosnia-Herzegovina Real Estate Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the real estate industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina.

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