Now Available: Slovenia Business Forecast Report Q1 2015

Core Views

* The short-term economic outlook has improved in light of accelerating regional economic activity and a slight rebound in domestic demand.
* The corporate sector remains overleveraged and will remain a major risk to the banking sector - unless ultimately some form of restructuring takes place, whether on the loans itself to reduce debt servicing costs, or through cost cutting (shedding jobs/trimming investment).

Major Forecast Changes

* We have upgraded our forecasts for real GDP growth in 2014 and 2015 on the back of stronger than expected exports, and early indications that household consumption is finally recovering.
* We have adjusted our current account forecasts, and now expect a surplus of 6.6% in 2015.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/924082_slovenia_business_forecast_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

Risks To Outlook

* Politics remains a key risk to the national reform programme, with the details of how to slash the budget deficit during a downturn likely to highlight differences between coalition partners. Any sign that the reform programme is at risk of delay or suspension will have an immediate and punishing impact on market sentiment towards Slovenia, pushing the country closer to a bailout.
* A big risk to the Slovenian economy lies abroad. A major deterioration in the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, or even just a greater-than-expected slowdown in the core eurozone nations, would have severe knock-on effects on the Slovenian economy, not only via depressed trade and investment flows, but also via credit channels and broader economic sentiment.

The Slovenia Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Slovenia and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Slovenia's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2018, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Slovenia's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Slovenia's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Slovenia, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Slovenia Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes four major sections:Economic Outlook,Political Outlook,Business Environmentand

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