Poland Agribusiness Report Q1 2015 - New Market Study Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Jan 06 2015


Polish meat producers remain in a challenging situation due to import bans imposed by several states on Polish pork and by Russia on agricultural produce from all EU member states. Although pork producers are facing the greatest pressure, we believe they have the potential to bounce back more quickly thanks to a strong base of domestic demand supplemented by growing export opportunities. Dairy producers are also suffering blowback from the embargo although a more general fall in prices is a bigger concern. We expect 2015 to be a difficult year, but the longer term outlook is more promising as we expect prices to recover and demand for processed dairy products to increase. Sugar production looks to have stalled after 2012/13's recovery and we are no longer so positive about the capacity of the industry to compete post liberalisation as yields have remained stubbornly low.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/924261_poland_agribusiness_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

Key Forecasts

* Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 14.2 % to 9.8mn tonnes. Expansion in output will be relatively sluggish as this growth comes from a low base. Low global prices will limit export potential.
* Pork consumption growth to 2018 : 3 .2% to 1.7mn tonnes. Demand will have a brief spurt in the short term due to a supply glut before returning to marginal year-on-year (y-o-y) declines in the later years of the forecast period.
* 2015 real GDP growth: 3.1 % (up from an estimated 2.8% in 2014; forecast to grow by 3.1% in 2015 and by an average of 3.3% annually 2014-2018).
* Consumer price inflation: 0.9 % y-o-y on average for 201 5 (up from 0.4% y-o-y estimated for 2014).
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: 2.0 % y-o-y decrease to USD1 8.3 bn in 2015, forecast to increase 1.4% annually on average between 2014 and 2018.

Industry Developments

Polish grain producers are to build a large-scale deepwater grain terminal in the port city of Gdansk to tap into growing overseas demand, particularly from...

The Poland Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Poland Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.



About Fast Market Research

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For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

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