"Russia Agribusiness Report Q2 2015" now available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Jan 28 2015


We have considerably downgraded our outlook for medium-term growth across the general Russian agricultural sector. A currency crisis leading to a severe deterioration in the fiscal situation of the Russian government will result in lower subsidies to the developing dairy and livestock industries. As such, we have revised down our outlook for both out to 2018/19. That said, the country's ban on agricultural imports from certain countries will provide a boon to production over the coming year, as domestic producers take advantage of the lack of competitive imports. We believe that grains production will post positive growth over the coming years, though will decline in 2015/16 owing to poor weather over the planting season.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/951127_russia_agribusiness_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=301

On August 7 2014, Russia introduced a one-year ban on imports of certain agricultural products from select countries. We outline the major implications of the trade sanctions below:

* Multilateral food trade will, generally speaking, be relatively unaffected.
* The US poultry and Norwegian fish sectors will be the biggest losers.
* The Brazilian meat sector and Belarus's agricultural industry will be the main beneficiaries.
* The import ban is likely to marginally increase Russian food price inflation, which will provide added impetus for Russia's central bank to raise interest rates in the coming months.
* The ban adds downside price pressure to world grain markets.

Russia banned imports of the following agricultural products from the US, EU, Canada, Australia and Norway:

* Beef
* Pork
* Poultry
* Fish
* Milk and dairy products
* Vegetables
* Fruit and nuts
* Prepared meat
* Finished food products

In the table below, we outline the major exporters of these products to Russia, and give our opinion on the countries that stand to gain and lose the most as a result of the measure.

The Russia Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Russia Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

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Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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