"Brazil Autos Report Q2 2015" Published

BMI forecasts a 1.8% drop in vehicle sales in 2015, as we expect the passenger car segment to drag down total sales despite a very slowly recovering commercial vehicle (CV) segment.

We forecast a 3.7% decline in passenger car sales in 2015 with sales reaching 2.41mn units for the year. This decline will come as growth in new passenger car purchases falls behind growth in consumer spending due to car sales tax hikes and tightening credit conditions weighing on demand.

In 2015, BMI expects to see 3.1% growth in light commercial vehicle (LCV) sales, a slowdown from strong growth in recent years and a 2.0% expansion in heavy truck sales. This slightly improving outlook for CVs is due to improving growth in key sectors such as Brazil's construction industry.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/953203_brazil_autos_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=301

BMI is becoming more bearish on the country's domestic sales and export outlook and believes this will feed into further falls in output in 2015. Indeed, we forecast a 2.9% decrease in total vehicle output over the coming year, a continuation of the large falls in output seen in 2014.

The majority of production in Brazil is for the domestic market. Over the long run, we expect exports to play an increasingly important role in output growth but volumes are likely to remain relatively minimal over 2015 and they will not be the primary driver of production.

The Brazil Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Brazil Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Brazil.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Brazil to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Brazilian automotives market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the Brazilian automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Brazil.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:


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