Just Published: "Tanzania Country Risk Report Q2 2015"

Core Views

* Tanzania's economy will see real growth of 6.9% in 2015 and 7.3% in 2016. Our 2015 forecast has been revised down in the wake of the power scandal troubling the country's government, which has led to funds being withheld by international donors.
* Rising uncertainty over future energy policy in Tanzania runs the risk of pushing back crucial investment into the offshore gas sector. Although we believe that CCM will win the October 2015 elections, a united opposition will lead to increasing resource nationalism in campaigning.
* Monetary policy in Tanzania, executed primarily through open market operations and sales of foreign exchange, will continue to be relatively tight in 2015 as the Bank of Tanzania looks to bring in inflation. It will be aided in this aim by falling global oil prices.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/974392_tanzania_country_risk_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes

* Real GDP growth in 2015 has been revised down from 7.3% to 6.9%.

Key Risks To Outlook

* A salient risk to our forecasts stems from the ongoing scandal in the power sector, which has led foreign donors to withhold financial support. This has led to a sell-off of the shilling, and has reduced macroeconomic stability.
* A major risk to our economic outlook comes from the weather. Poor rains would not only exacerbate tight food supplies (food price inflation was the major driver of rapidly rising headline inflation in 2011) but would also once again hamper hydroelectricity production, raising costs for businesses and, by extension, consumers.
* The country's infrastructure deficit is another concern; a failure to make significant progress would likely hold the economy back from reaching its significant potential.
* The uncertainty regarding the constitutional review process is jeopardising investment flows.
* A meaningful deterioration in Tanzania's investment profile as a result of protests against major investment projects or as a result of a more populist approach to policymaking could also deter much-needed foreign investment.

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The Tanzania Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in The Tanzania and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of The Tanzania's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of The Tanzania's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.

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