New market study, "Italy Agribusiness Report Q4 2015", has been published

We have revised our forecasts for the Italian agribusiness sector and now hold a mixed outlook , as we bel ieve the cheese, milk, poultry and pork industries will record stable growth through to 2018/19. The removal of the EU's milk production quota in 2015 and the opportunity for Italy to develop its value-added exports will be positives . We expect corn production to post the strongest growth out of the grains complex, largely due to base effects, as we believe wheat output will remain broadly flat due to little opportunity for area or yield growth.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth to 2018/19: 4.3 % to 7. 6 mn tonnes. We expect wheat production in Italy to rebound modestly and go above the 7.5mn tonne mark.
Cheese consumption growth to 2019: 20.1 % to 1.9mn tonnes. Per capita cheese consumption, at 25.8kg in 2014, is on a par with France and Germany and higher than in northern European countries such as Sweden and the UK. Still, we see room for additional growth over the coming years.
Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 1 0.9 % to 1. 4 mn tonnes. Poultry is a relatively cheap meat; as such, we expect continued strong demand amid the tough economic climate.
2015 real GDP growth: 0.7 % y-o-y, compared with an estimated contraction of 0.4% in 2014.
2015 consumer price index: -0.2 % average, down from 0.2% in 2014.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1044797_italy_agribusiness_report_q4.aspx?afid=301

BMI universe agribusiness market value: 8.0% y-o-y increase to USD34.2 bn in 2014/15, forecast to grow on average by 2.8% annually between 2014/15 and 2018/19.

Industry Developments

The Italy Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Italy Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.



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