Botswana Country Risk Report Q2 2016 - New Market Research Report

Core Views:

Botswana's economy will be hit by the global diamond price and demand slump, slashing real GDP growth in half in 2015. We have revised down our near term real GDP forecast for Botswana, the world's second biggest diamond producer after Russia. Economic growth will slow to 2.5% in 2015 and 3.7% 2016, compared to our previous forecast of 4.1% for both years.

The Bank of Botswana will keep rates unchanged in Q216 We expect inflation to remain low due to factors such as subdued oil prices, low demand pull pressure due to low real GDP growth and a depreciating rand.

In the continued absence of meaningful economic diversification, the mining sector is set to remain a key engine of growth. While nickel, copper and particularly coal will become more prominent in the country's export base, tourism related investment will increase.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1118912_botswana_country_risk_report.aspx?afid=301

We expect a return to the political status quo in Botswana in 2015 and 2016, following escalating tensions in the run up to the October 2014 general elections.

Key Risks:

Ongoing revisions to Botswana's national accounts estimates will affect growth. Amid ongoing efforts by Statistics Botswana to more accurately portray the size and structure of the economy, GDP estimates remain subject to frequent and often notable adjustments.

Given Botswana's dependence on imported energy and food any unexpected rise in global food or oil prices will affect the country's growth levels.

Uncertain energy supplies pose a persistent risk to economic activity in Botswana.

The Botswana Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Botswana. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Botswana's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, BMI Research.

Key Uses
Forecast the pace and stability of Botswana's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
Contextualise Botswana's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
Evaluate external threats to doing business in Botswana, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Botswana Country Risk Report by BMI Research includes three major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook and Operational Risk.

Economic Outlook:

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