France Real Estate Report 2016 - New Market Report

Our long-term outlook for the French commercial real estate market is optimistic. However, in the short term weak economic growth and faltering investor sentiment will limit development and demand in the sector.

We forecast real GDP growth of 1.4% in 2016 as the economy faces the challenges of a struggling eurozone and slowing global demand. Rising consumer confidence and increased business investment will boost demand and activity across the commercial real estate spectrum in the medium-to-long term. However, in the short term the market will continue to be affected by high unemployment and limited business appetite for expansion.

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Over 2016 commercial real estate rents should remain stable in US dollar terms, increasing slightly in euro terms. There will be moderate demand and limited supply across all three sub-sectors we cover (office, retail and industrial). The lion's share of investment, and the highest rents, will continue to be in Paris, a global centre for finance and retail.

Office sub-sector rents will remain subdued, with stable vacancy rates. Demand is strongest for premium space, while a rise in the number of small and medium-sized firms will boost demand for small-scale space.

The retail segment commands the highest rental levels of the sub-sectors we cover. We see moderate demand and stable rental rates in the short term, with the market driven by demand for premium space. Consumer spending grew by 1.8% in 2015, indicating the possibility of an increase in demand for new space.

The industrial real estate segment will stagnate over 2016, with little in the way of new development and stable rental and vacancy rates. Over the long term we see increased demand for logistics space, particularly to serve the growing e-commerce market.

The France Real Estate Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts of major construction projects in the residential and commercial markets, plus rental prices and yields in major cities. The report critically analyses the prospects for real estate within the broader economic and financial context - both domestic and global - via our econometrically-modelled and clearly explained banking and economic forecasts and follows this through to evaluate the implications for REITs.

BMI's France Real Estate Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the real estate industry in France.

Key Benefits
Benchmark BMI's independent real estate industry forecasts for France to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the French real estate market.

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