New Market Research Report: Slovenia Country Risk Report Q2 2016

The short-term economic outlook has improved in light of accelerating regional economic activity and a slight rebound in domestic demand.

The corporate sector remains overleveraged and will remain a major risk to the banking sector - unless ultimately some form of restructuring takes place, whether on the loans itself to reduce debt servicing costs, or through cost cutting (shedding jobs/trimming investment).

Major Forecast Changes

We have revised our current account forecast from 7.3% to 7.9% in 2016 as a result of our Oil and Gas team's recent downgrades to the Brent crude price forecast. We forecast Brent crude to average USD40.0/bbl in 2016, from USD53.6/bbl in 2017, which we estimate will result in a net saving of around EUR270mn.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1132602_slovenia_country_risk_report.aspx?afid=301

Key Risks

The ongoing migrant crisis is a growing risk to Slovenia's fiscal consolidation plans, as associated costs are accelerating rapidly.

The high level of government debt remains a major source of vulnerability, as will residual problems within the banking sector, which may require further recapitalisation.

Assess your risk exposure in Slovenia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Slovenia with confidence.

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