Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report Q3 2016 - New Market Study Published

Kazakhstan appears to be over the worst of its economic woes brought about by the shock from falling oil prices and a devaluing currency. I nfrastructure investment is viewed as part of the long-term plan to diversify the economy and holds significant long-term potential, especially in the rail and energy industries. The government is also pledging significant funds towards residential construction for 2016-2020 , with indicators already proving an investment uptick is under way here .

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Growth in the construction industry will average 5.6% over our 10-year forecast to 2025, with the possibility for this to improve towards the end of this period.

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President Nazarbayev announced USD5bn in additional funding from the SWF and pension fund, with much of it allocated to affordable housing construction.

The Kazakh economy is past the worst, with a rebound in oil prices offering support for the tenge, mitigating inflationary pressures and allowing for monetary policy easing in the next few months.

Residential building starts grew 22% y-o-y in the first four months of 2016, while investment in house building in tenge terms grew 20%, pointing to the fact economic headwinds may be softening.

Risk/Reward Index

Corruption and question marks over long-term political stability remain limiting factors on the country's score, as many are put off from entering the market.

The overall RRI has fallen this quarter to 49.2 from 50.4 out of 100, which is below the regional average of 55.2.

The country's score is weighed down by its performance in the Risks category, where it scores 42.0, a slight uptick on the previous quarter thanks to improvements in its Country Risk score.

The Rewards score falls to 52.3 from 53.9 due to a weakening Industry Rewards score, a knock-on effect from the oil price shock to investment spending.

The Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Kazakhstani infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits
Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Kazakhstan to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Kazakhstani infrastructure market.

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