"India Real Estate Report Q4 2013" now available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Thu Nov 14 2013

The year 2013 saw GDP growth in India drop to the lowest level in over a decade while some sectors, including manufacturing, plummeted to twenty year growth lows. Persistent structural issues ranging from the financial system to national infrastructure saw widespread capital flight in addition to record setting lows for the Indian Rupee against the dollar. Additionally, 2013 was an especially tense year for Indian- Pakistani relations, with cross-border skirmishes and reported cease-fire violations increasing in number from January-August. Despite these challenges, the commercial real estate market has thus far managed to avoid significant downturns, although demand, vacancy rates and rental stability in the short term remain a cause for concern. Nevertheless, BMI shares the consensus opinion that both economic performance and aggregate demand will improve into 2014, as investors begin to return to an Indian market which continues to display solid growth potential. Predictions of 4.5-5% growth through 2013 should increase to a minimum of 6% by 2014.

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The present Indian government has attempted to induce economic reforms in addition to a national infrastructure redevelopment in the months leading to the 2014 parliamentary election. Reductions on levels of foreign project financing, in addition to more restrictive controls on international investment by domestic firms, has helped foster the emergence of new capital in addition to relieving the pressure on a government already heavily reliant on borrowing. The lack of large-scale development in 2013, especially in the office sector, had a neutralizing effect on rents, which have marginally declined or seen no significant changes. By contrast, the construction sector, suffering from additional projects, has contracted somewhat from 2012 levels. India's retail sector is following a similar trend being witnessed in China: a large movement of educated individuals into the middle class has increased disposable income, consumption levels, and fostered previously unseen demand for apparel, technology and grocery products. Though somewhat stagnant through 2013 due to lowered construction levels, scarce investment and consistent vacancy, India's retail sector shows enormous potential for growth in the medium-term, and could likely reach double-digit growth into 2014.

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