New Report Available: Sudan and South Sudan Business Forecast Report Q2 2014

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Mar 10 2014

While conflicts between various tribes and ethnicities were already ongoing in both countries, the descent into full-scale armed conflict in South Sudan has major negative implications for both countries, significantly curtailing growth and deteriorating the external accounts.

Major Forecast Changes

We have downgraded our forecast for South Sudan's growth in 2014, from 21.1% to 10.6%, owing to the disruptions associated with the conflict.

We have made an upward revision to South Sudan's inflation for 2014 as shortages are expected to occur. We now see inflation rising to 24.2% year-on-year by end-2014, compared to our previous projections of 12.0%.

We have upgraded our forecasts for Sudan's budget deficit due to the latest data released by the IMF, and now expect the 2014 fiscal shortfall to equal 2.5% of GDP, compared to earlier estimates of 7.3%.

Full Report Details at

Key Risks To Outlook

Political risk remains the most salient threat to our outlook, as a further deterioration of the security situation could further threaten the economic stability and long-term outlook for both countries.

The price of oil represents another important risk to our forecasts, both positive and negative, given both countries are among Africa's top crude producers.

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts, we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased, expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

You may also be interested in these related reports:

- South Africa Business Forecast Report Q2 2014
- South Korea Business Forecast Report Q1 2014
- Chile Business Forecast Report Q2 2014
- Brazil Business Forecast Report Q2 2014
- Hungary Business Forecast Report Q2 2014

Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email:
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

Visit website »