New Report Available: United States Real Estate Report Q2 2014

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Thu Mar 27 2014

There are several factors underpinning BMI's positive outlook for the Commercial Real Estate sector in 2014. Firstly, providing key support for the industrial sector is the steady increase of US domestic energy production and stronger real GDP growth in key US trade partners, including Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the eurozone, which we believe will increase external demand for US goods and services. Secondly, supporting the retail segment broad trends supporting stronger real personal consumption expenditure (PCE) growth remain in place, and as such we expect real PCE growth to continue to accelerate in 2014. Thirdly, the improved outlook for the economy and unemployment will support all three real estate segments.

Commercial real estate (CRE) expansion is dependent on a healthy macroeconomic environment. During Q413 we revised down our estimate for 2013 US real GDP growth from 2.1% to 1.8%, but we maintain that the US economy is gaining steam and is set for more rapid expansion. Indeed, we have upgraded our 2014 real GDP growth forecast from 2.7% to 2.8% with growth set to average 2.4% per year from 2013-2018. A major factor in this improving economic outlook has been the improvement in US job creation and we have revised down our end-2013 and end-2014 unemployment rate forecasts from 7.5% and 7.2% to 7.2% and 6.8% respectively on the back of stronger than expected job gains.

Full Report Details at

With a focus on the cities of New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Dallas and Philadelphia, the report covers the rental market performance in terms of rates and yields and examines how best to maximise returns in the commercial real estate market, while minimising investment risk and exploring the impact of economic on a market that can dictate regional performance. We expect the cautious recovery seen across the US commercial real estate market in 2013 to gain traction over the course of the coming year with moderate-tostrong growth seen across the three main sub-sectors of office, retail and industrial. Positive consumer sentiment has gone some way to keeping real estate investment afloat. The overriding view seems to be that the outlook for commercial real estate is improving, but that ongoing vulnerability in the market is leading to continued caution among real estate players. This indicates that while the recovery is under way, it will continue to be slow.

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