"Czech Republic Business Forecast Report Q3 2014" now available at Fast Market Research

Core Views

* Consumer price inflation in the Czech Republic accelerated to 0.4% y-o-y in May, from 0.1% in April, in line with our expectation that the economic rebound underway in Q114 should feed through to stronger inflationary pressures. Signs that the remaining slack in the labour market is declining and that demand-side inflationary pressures are now picking up are already evident in the May headline inflation outturn, as well as in wage growth, which accelerated markedly in Q114.
* We expect the ruling coalition in the Czech Republic comprising the centre-left CSSD and the populist ANO 11 party to remain stable for the duration of their term in power until 2018. However, declining support for the ruling CSSD party reflects a broad-based public disaffection with the political establishment as well as general suspicion towards the party's pro-EU stance.
* We reiterate our view that the country will continue to post modest current account deficits for the foreseeable future. The country's status as a regional safe haven will ensure that stable financial inflows continue to cover the country's external financing needs.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/841216_czech_republic_business_forecast_report_q3_2014.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes

* Following the Czech Statistical Office's recent upward revision of the Q114 real GDP growth for the Czech Republic - to 2.5% from 2.1%, we have revised slightly upward our real GDP growth forecast - to 1.8% for 2014 from 1.6% previously. Nevertheless, we reiterate our view that growth will slow in H214, as we expect a slowdown in German export growth in H214 to chip away at the momentum behind the export-led recovery in the Czech Republic.

Risks To Outlook

* A more pronounced slowdown in eurozone economic growth and in particular in Germany would have a negative effect on the Czech Republic's economic growth trajectory. Owing to the high degree of trade integration with Germany, the Czech Republic's economic recovery remains highly dependent on external demand remaining relatively receptive to Czech exports.

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The Czech Republic Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Czech Republic and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of Czech Republic's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Czech Republic's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.

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