Colombia Business Forecast Report Q3 2014 - New Market Report

Core Views:

* We believe that Colombia's economy will expand at robust growth rates in the coming years, characterised by improved macroeconomic conditions and an increasingly friendly business environment.
* Stronger private consumption will drive the majority of growth, although gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) will play an increasingly important role over the coming quarters.
* The infrastructure, mining and hydrocarbons sectors are particularly well positioned for growth.

Major Forecast Changes:

No Major Forecast Changes Since Last Update.

Key Risks To Outlook:

* Upside Risks: Elevated foreign investment inflows into the country following Colombia's upgrade to 'investment grade' by all three major ratings agencies could drive growth even faster than expected. In addition, a successful agreement during the ongoing peace negotiations between the government and the country's main left-wing insurgent group, the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (Farc), would likely result in even greater foreign investment as risk perception improves.
* Downside Risks: Another wave of labour strikes would pose significant downside risks to our export and real GDP growth outlook. Indeed, workers demanding higher wages and greater government support disrupted key exports such as coal throughout 2013, and another episode of industrial activity cannot be ruled out at this moment.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/841215_colombia_business_forecast_report_q3_2014.aspx?afid=301

The Colombia Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Colombia and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of Colombia's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Colombia's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Colombia's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Ratings system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Colombia, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Colombia Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Business Environment and Key Sector Outlook.

Economic Outlook:

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