Indonesia Mining Report Q3 2014 - New Study Released

Mining firms in Indonesia will be forced to put the brakes on investment as the economic slowdown in China drag s on mineral prices. The export ban on raw minerals will have a decisive impact on the fortunes of Indonesia's mining industry. While no official announcement has been made, our core view remains that the export ban will eventually be rolled back due to mounting economic headwinds and practical consideration.

With the boom years in commodity prices behind us, we believe more miners in Indonesia will be forced to put the brakes on investment over the coming quarters. Crucially, the export ban on raw will have a decisive impact on the fortunes of Indonesia's mining sector. In an effort to push the construction of smelters and boost the value of mineral exports, the Indonesian government banned the export of unprocessed minerals with effect from January 2014. However, we believe the export ban is one policy that will have to be rolled back over the coming quarters. With the exception of tin, the bulk of minerals such as copper, nickel and bauxite are still a long way from being refined domestically.

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Against the backdrop of slowing economic growth, Indonesia can ill-afford to risk souring investor sentiment in the face of falling commodity prices and deteriorating economic conditions. Indeed, the increasingly strict policies within the mining space have arrived at an awkward time for the country. The new mining regulations were implemented following an extended bull run in global commodities prices. Since the implementation of the new regulations, Indonesia's external position has weakened considerably as prices of key exports such as coal and palm oil have collapsed. The paramount importance of the mining sector, which accounts for around 12% of Indonesia's GDP, and 20% of all foreign direct investment flows, reinforces our conviction that the minerals export ban...

The Indonesia Mining Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s mining and commodity forecasts for metals, minerals and gems, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, exports and values. The report also analyses trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.

BMI's Indonesia Mining Report provides industry strategists, service companies, company analysts and consultants, government departments, trade associations and regulatory bodies with BMI's independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the mining industry in Indonesia.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts on Indonesia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in this mining market.

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