"United Arab Emirates Business Forecast Report Q4 2014" Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Thu Oct 16 2014

Core Views

* Our baseline scenario sees relatively solid growth over the coming quarters, with real GDP forecast to expand 3.9% and 4.0% in 2014 and 2015 respectively.
* We expect Dubai to outperform Abu Dhabi, with the former benefitting from increased activity in the trade and tourism sectors, in addition to our expectation that the all-important real estate industry is now set for sustained growth.
* Credit growth to the private sector will remain relatively slow through 2014 as commercial banks continue to increase provisioning against potential loan losses due to the debt funding cliff.

Major Forecast Changes

* On the back of a stronger-than-expected recovery in Dubai's residential property sector, we have revised up our 2014 average inflation forecast, and now project the headline print coming in at 3.5% this year.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/887949_united_arab_emirates_business_forecast_report_q4.aspx?afid=301

Key Risks To Outlook

* Any attack by Islamist militants would result in a fundamental reappraisal of both the UAE's, and the wider region, risk profile.
* A further uptick in tensions between the West and Iran could result in a deterioration in the UAE's sovereign risk profile given the close proximity and deep trade ties between the two countries.
* Downside risks to oil prices in H214 and 2015 are elevated, which could undermine the UAE's macroeconomic recovery.

The United Arab Emirates Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in the United Arab Emirates and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of the United Arab Emirates' economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of the United Arab Emirates' economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise the United Arab Emirates' country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Ratings system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in the United Arab Emirates, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The United Arab Emirates Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Business Environment and Key Sector Outlook.

Economic Outlook:

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts, we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased, expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

You may also be interested in these related reports:

- United States Business Forecast Report Q4 2014
- United Kingdom Business Forecast Report Q4 2014
- Sudan and South Sudan Business Forecast Report Q4 2014
- United Arab Emirates Insurance Report Q4 2014
- United Arab Emirates Real Estate Report Q4 2014

Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

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