Canada Power Report Q4 2014 - New Market Study Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Oct 29 2014

Our fundamental assumptions of the market continue to be relevant and therefore our short- and long-term forecasts remain mostly unchanged. Although e conomic growth in Canada will gradually accelerate over the next few years , according to our country risk analysts the growth outlook for the country , remains b elow consensus expectations, reflecting BMI 's concerns about high household debt levels and declining commodity prices . With power demand highly correlated to economic activities, we therefore anticipate that the country's power consumption will see a positive growth, albeit at a mere 0.96%, in 2014. We also anticipate that the country's mature electricity market will see a positive but moderate rise in generation and consumption in the medium-to-long term. The replacement of old and polluting capacity will be the key drivers of this growth. Finally, we expect overall generation to decline as Canada's power exports to its southern neighbour will decrease slightly in future .

Full Report Details at

Canada enjoys the advantage of a diverse and balanced electricity mix, owing to its abundant indigenous resources. Yet, and despite Canada's decision to withdraw from the Kyoto Protocol, environmental concerns are likely to weigh heavily on the country's energy agenda. Hence, in a picture similar to the one of its Southern neighbour, we expect planned shifts in the share of various fuels will be among the key drivers of new investment in the power sector.

That said, there have been a number of positive developments across every segment of the power sector:

* We have long held the view that, although Canada's heavy reliance on coal for electricity generation and its withdrawal from of the Kyoto agreement would imply the expansion of greener technologies is not at the forefront of government policy, stringent government carbon emission regulations suggest that electricity generation from coal will decrease over our 10-year forecast period...

The Canada Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Canada Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Canada to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.

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