New Market Research Report: Peru Freight Transport Report Q4 2014

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Thu Oct 30 2014

BMI maintains its broadly positive view on Peru's freight transport sector. While we expect real GDP growth to level off at around 5.0% during our forecast period, below its recent trend, significant mineral wealth, attractive investment opportunities at the sector level, and an improving consumer story underpin our view that Peru will remain one of the most dynamic economies in Latin America in the coming years.

Further upside risk comes from the recently announced plan to heavily invest in Peru's transport network, which BMI believes will help boost the country's freight transport volumes, through providing easier routes to market. However, we caution that perhaps the plan is overly ambitious, and might not quite hit the desired target by the scheduled date. According to Peru's transport and communications minister, Carlos Paredes RodrĂ­gues, USD22bn is set to be invested in the Latin American country's transport and communications sectors by 2016.

Full Report Details at

On the downside, given our Asia Country Risk team's expectation that Chinese real GDP growth will trend lower in the coming years, as the economy rebalances away from an investment-led growth model to one in which private consumption plays a larger role, we anticipate that Peru will continue to be hit hard through the trade and investment channels due to weaker Chinese demand, lower average metals prices, and more moderate capital expenditure plans by major mining firms.

Headline Industry Data

* We expect growth of 3.9% in total tonnage throughput at the Port of Callao, to 32.0mn tonnes in 2014.
* We predict air freight volume to increase 4.2%, to 339,000 tonnes in 2014.
* We expect rail freight carried (volume x distance) to grow 2.9%, to 954mn tonnes-km in 2014.

Key Industry Trends

China , Brazil And Peru To Coordinate Efforts To Build Rail Link : After a meeting in Brazil in July 2014 between Chinese President Xi Jinping and his counterparts from Brazil and Peru, Dilma Rousseff and Ollanta Humala,...

The Peru Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Peru Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Peruvian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Peru to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.

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