"France Agribusiness Report Q1 2015" Published

We believe the grain s sector in France will continue to outperform other agribusiness segments in terms of production growth. This will be reinforced by the ongoing reforms of Common Agricultural Policy subsidies , which are likely to have more of an effect on dairy and livestock farmers than grain farmers.

Key Forecasts

* Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 4.8 % to 4 0 .5mn tonnes. We expect wheat to remain one of the most profitable crop in the country and the one most in demand for domestic use and exports.
* Poultry consumption growth to 2018: 4. 9 % to 1.7mn tonnes. We see stronger long-term demand growth for poultry than for pork or beef owing to poultry's general affordability and reputation for better health benefits than red meat.
* Cheese production growth to 2017/18: 8.8% to 2.1mn tonnes. Over the longer term, we expect consolidation in the dairy industry to allow producers to take advantage of rising quotas and export demand. We also believe the European Commission's decision to adopt new legislation allowing producers to collectively negotiate contracts with processors will improve the profitability of milk production, in turn supporting output.
* 2014 real GDP growth: 0. 3 % (up from 0.2% in 2013).
* Consumer price inflation: 0.8 % average in 2014 (slightly down from 1.0% in 2013).
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: 6.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) decrease to USD66.0bn in 2013/14.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/900693_france_agribusiness_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

Industry Developments

Grains production will be relatively strong in France in 2014/15, owing to good yields over most of Europe. We forecast wheat production to increase 0.8% to reach 39.3mn tonnes. However, as is the case for much of Europe, unfavourable weather towards the end of the growing period has meant that a lot of the wheat in France is sub-quality for milling purposes. Exports of wheat will not be as high as initially expected, as...

The France Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's France Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

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