Germany Telecommunications Report Q1 2015 - New Market Report

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Dec 22 2014

Consolidation is driving the German telecommunications market as operators strive to reinvent themselves as full converged service providers. O2 h as finalised its merger with E-Plu s and Vodafone has gained control of Kabel Deutschland Grou p. Low value voice and messaging services are being superseded by data-centric services as more consumers demand 'everything everywhere' access. The shift of one mobile virtual network operator from low-value prepaid to high-value postpaid plans conveys the story set to play out over the next five years. In fixed-line segment too, competition is rife with operators investing heavily into new infrastructure to increase their market shares. BMI believes t he German competitive landscape is changing quickly and that many of today's players will not stay the course.

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Key Data

* Mobile subscriptions forecast to rise from 115.2mn in 2013 to 121.1mn by the end of 2018 despite continued net losses at Vodafone. Market is buoyed by robust mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) expansion and customer migration to 4G (LTE).
* Improved mobile subscriber mix and the loss of non revenue-generating inactive subscriptions at Vodafone (and likely also at O2 after the E-Plus acquisition) should lead to a small improvement in the rate of average revenue per user (ARPU) erosion. However, the trend remains downward overall. BMI forecasts industry average ARPUs to fall from EUR13.9 in 2013 to EUR12.3 in 2018.

Key Developments

In July 2014, Telefonica Deutschland (which operates in Germany under the O2 brand) completed its agreement to acquire rival E-Plus from KPN of the Netherlands. The deal received approval from the European Commission after O2 undertook to hive off spectrum and network capacity to a new player; it signed an agreement for MVNO Drillisch to acquire capacity for an initial five-year period and there is scope for at least one other new entrant (possibly cable operator UPC Unitymedia) to follow...

The Germany Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Germany's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Germany Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Germany.

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