"Poland Business Forecast Report Q1 2015" Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Dec 22 2014

Core Views

* The export-driven recovery we have anticipated in Poland is now in motion, and we are now turning increasingly positive towards the country's domestic demand outlook. We expect a robust recovery in domestic demand in 2014, as low inflation, solid wage growth and an improving labour market bolster household purchasing power.
* Poland's external position remains relatively strong and we estimate the current account deficit arrived at just 1.6% of GDP in 2013. However, a large stock of foreign-owned government paper and ongoing private sector deleveraging represent the two major risks to our sanguine outlook.
* We continue to expect the Civic Platform (PO)-led government to serve out its term. The government won a recent parliamentary vote of confidence, suggesting its parliamentary majority is safe for the time being. We also believe that the opposition will struggle to broaden its appeal despite the rising government unpopularity, limiting its ability to challenge the ruling coalition.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/912227_poland_business_forecast_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes

* Due to weaker than expected inflation and the growing potential for the ECB to embark on a quantitative easing programme, we now expect the first policy rate hikes to arrive in Q115, from our previous forecast of Q414.

Key Risks To Outlook

* Although not our core scenario, we highlight the risk of Greece leaving the euro, potentially leading to a disorderly breakup of the whole common currency bloc. This would likely push Poland into recession.

The Poland Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Poland and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Poland's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2018, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Poland's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Poland's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Poland, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Poland Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Business Environment and

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts, we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased, expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

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