"Iran Autos Report Q1 2015" Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri Jan 02 2015

The main political news affecting the Iranian auto industry over the past quarter was the announcement on November 24 2014 that there has been an extension to the deadline for a 'permanent' agreement to be reached on the Islamic Republic's nuclear programme- which aims to ensure that Iran cannot use its enrichment activities to produce a nuclear weapon before the West can intervene - until June 30 2015. During this extension period to the ongoing talks between Iran and the P5+1 countries (the US, Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany), Iran will continue to receive approximately USD700mn per month from its frozen accounts, although key international sanctions on its energy and banking sector will remain in place.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/938400_iran_autos_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

BMI's Country Risk team believes that the talks will be protracted, with risks tilted slightly to the downside. Overall, we believe that a solution to the nuclear issue will not be found by June 30, as political constraints will prevent both Iranian and US negotiators from making the significant concessions necessary to bridge existing technical obstacles to a deal. That said, a complete breakdown in talks is also unlikely in June, as the costs would be immense.

Our core view therefore remains that talks will continue over the next two years through a series of partial deals and extensions. Following June 2015, we believe that a form of face-saving, partial agreement will be reached, which will allow for further talks. Sanctions will be somewhat eased, but key measures targeting Iran's oil and banking sector will remain in place. Beyond a two-year timeframe, talks will be influenced by decisions of future political leaders, and their direction is harder to decipher. Political obstacles to a final agreement will remain substantial, and we believe that risks of reaching a final agreement over the coming decade are tilted slightly to the downside.

It is clear that there is strong demand for new vehicles from the Iranian population at present. As such,...

The Iran Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Iran Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Iran.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Iranian automotives market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the Iranian automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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