China Freight Transport Report Q1 2015 - New Market Research Report

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri Jan 02 2015

BMI maintains its cautious outlook for China's freight transport volumes for Q 1 2015 . We continue to believe that the hangover effects of China's economic stimulus are yet to be felt, and cooling credit growth is likely to reveal these effects over the coming quarters. Newfound reform momentum has the potential to help the economy grow out from under its credit excesses; however, several obstacles stand in the way of this, including the likelihood that reform efforts could exacerbate any economic downturn. We maintain our forecast for real GDP growth to slow further to 6.7% in 2015, and note that aggressive stimulus measures are off the table as long as the country's labour markets remain stable.

The outlook for China's traditional economic growth drivers, such as heavy industry and real estate construction, remains cloudy, and this will put downside pressure on freight volumes. The outlook facing the more consumer-focussed industries is relatively strong over the medium term and this should boost air freight volumes in particular, as demand for small electronic goods continues. Overall, though, as the traditional sectors remain the dominant drivers of the economy, we remain below consensus in our real GDP growth outlook.

Full Report Details at

Headline Industry Data

* 2015 air freight tonnes/km is expected to grow by 3.6%.
* 2015 rail freight tonnes/km is forecast to grow by 1.8%.
* 2015 port of Shanghai throughput is forecast to grow by 2.6%.
* 2015 road freight tonnes/km is forecast to grow by 9.9%.

Key Industry Trends

Maskargo Strengthens Chinese Ties With Zhengzhou Connection: Zhengzhou's status as an air freight hub is further cemented by a planned connection with Malaysia. Maskargo's route expansion increases Malaysia's supply chain options to its largest trade partner China, specifically for its technology imports and exports.

COSCO To Boost Freight Transportation Over China-Europe Rail Link: China Ocean Shipping Co (COSCO), a government-owned...

The China Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s China Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Chinese freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on China to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.

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