Market Report, "Qatar Business Forecast Report Q1 2015", published

Core Views

* Qatar's short-term political risk profile remains among the most stable in the region. Despite enjoying little in the way of democratic freedom, Qataris benefit from massive hydrocarbon wealth which is spread generously across the country's native population and enjoy the highest per capita GDP in the world. A small population - and one without much inclination to protest against the government - will keep the country insulated from large-scale public unrest in the immediate term.
* The Qatari economy will continue to expand at a rapid pace over the next few years, supported by accommodative fiscal policy - notably infrastructure spending - and strong population increases. The non-hydrocarbons economy will propel growth, with construction activity and the services sector set to remain the dominant performers.
* We forecast real headline growth of 6.6% and 6.1% in 2015 and 2016 respectively. Lower hydrocarbon prices present no immediate threat to Qatar's infrastructure investments and economic performance. The new Barzan gas development, which is scheduled to come on-stream in 2015, will shore up growth in the hydrocarbon sector throughout the coming quarters.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/924079_qatar_business_forecast_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

Key Risks To Outlook

* Given the economy's heavy reliance on the hydrocarbon sector, a pronounced global economic downturn - if it were to translate into a sustained drop-off in demand for oil and gas - could impact negatively on our forecasts for Qatar's external account position, budget and growth outlook. That said, we highlight that the country's US$115bn sovereign wealth fund - as well as its continuing ability to tap international debt markets - provides the economy with significant bulwarks against these risks.
* The construction sector remains exposed to the potential for delays and cost overruns, a factor that is increasing and unlikely to improve over the medium term.
* The confirmation that Qatar will host the FIFA 2022 World Cup removes a key downside risk to our economic and...

The Qatar Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Qatar and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Qatar's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2018, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Qatar's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.

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