Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report Q1 2015 - New Market Study Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Jan 05 2015

Core Views

* The ongoing civil war in Syria is having severe repercussions on the Lebanese economy. Lebanon's medium-term growth trajectory will settle well below pre-crisis levels due to a lack of investment in transportation and energy infrastructure.
* Despite renewed fears over the economy's gaping external asymmetries, a loyal depositor base in the domestic banking sector, combined with a massive arsenal of foreign exchange reserves, should help bolster underlying stability through what will turn out as a prolonged period of political volatility. This will minimize the potential for an unexpected devaluation of the pound in 2015.

Major Forecast Revisions

* We forecast real GDP in Lebanon to expand by 2.6% in 2015, from our previous forecast of 2.4%. That said, elevated political instability will continue to hinder exports and consumer spending. Despite a reduction in terrorist attacks in the capital Beirut over the past quarters, levels of political violence remain elevated in the country. Moreover, given elevated political polarisation, the current government will be unable to enact any structural economic reform this year.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/924072_lebanon_and_syria_business_forecast_report_q1.aspx?afid=301

Key Risks To Outlook

* Given Lebanon's reliance on foreign capital to finance domestic demand (as evidenced through its large current account shortfall), a marked deterioration in regional or global capital markets over the coming quarters could slow financial inflows, which would negatively impact growth.
* As the civil war in Syria shows no signs of abating, tensions between Lebanese political blocs pro and against Syria's President Bashar al-Assad will remain a key source of instability.

The Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in the Lebanon and Syria and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of The Lebanon and Syria's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of The Lebanon and Syria's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise The Lebanon and Syria's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Ratings system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in The Lebanon and Syria, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts, we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased, expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

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