Market Report, "Yemen Defence & Security Report 2015", published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Jan 05 2015


BMI is anticipating further turbulence in Yemen over the course of 2015, as President Hadi has faced significant challenges to his authority and as the government finds itself in a crisis following the Houthi's capture of the capital Sana'a in 2014. We think Al Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula may potentially exploit the crisis to seek out support in Sunni areas and note that AQAP has increased its attacks against the Yemeni military and international interests in the country .

Since September 2014, when the Houthi rebels took control of government institutions in Yemen, the political and security situation has deteriorated. We are not expecting improvement, but rather a worsening of the security climate. We do not see the Houthis - a highly trained and well armed militia - returning to their bases in the north of the country. We note that the competing interests of Iran and Saudi Arabia hinder rather than help overall stability in Yemen.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/924322_yemen_defence_security_report_2015.aspx?afid=301

With the centrality of the government and Hadi's authority weakened, it seems it will become more and more difficult for Sana'a to fight both the Houthi and the Al Qaeda threats. We see a multiplicity of conflicts breaking out, note increasing divisions within the military, and anticipate potentially more sectarian armed forces, a potential increase in sectarian violence, and potentially increased apparition of tribe and clan based loyalties.

For 2015, Yemen has achieved only very low scores on our security risk ratings which we are attributing to weak political and military institutions, its role as a centre in the global terror network, crippling rates of crime including but not limited to theft, extortion, sexual violence, kidnappings, and petty crime, its use as a proxy battleground by more powerful regional actors, and dependence on outside support to uphold the institutions of the state.

Recent Developments

* A peace agreement and national partnership signed in September 2014 between the Houthi's and numerous Yemeni...

The Yemen Defence & Security Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.

BMI's Yemen Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Yemeni defence and security industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on Yemen to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Yemeni defence and security market.

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