"Brazil Agribusiness Report Q1 2015" Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Jan 07 2015

We believe that grains production growth over the next five years will slow relative to the preceding five. Nevertheless, we forecast strong grains production growth through to the end of our forecast period . We expect soybean output to outperform in the next few seasons and the price of the oilseed to remain elevated relative to corn. We also see strong growth in the livestock and dairy sectors, as these will benefit from Russia's ban on imports of US products. We hold a more positive view on the sugar industry now than we have held in the past, though the country's ethanol sector remains in a poor state, as evidenced by the number of mills that have gone bankrupt in the last year.

Key Forecasts

* Soybean production growth 2012/13 to 2017/18: 14.3% to 93.8mn tonnes. This will come as more area is shifted from corn to soy over the next few years on the back of an extremely competitive soy/corn ratio by historical standards.
* Poultry consumption growth to 2018: 17.0% to 10.3mn tonnes. A growing middle class and the general preference for poultry over all other meat groups because of its health properties and lower prices will encourage demand growth.
* Milk production growth to 2017/18: 20.0 % to 38.9mn tonnes. Brazil has the potential to become a significant exporter of dairy products over the forecast period to 2018 if its milk collection and processing infrastructure can be brought up to international standards.
* 2015 real GDP growth: 1. 5 % (up from 0.7% in 2014).
* 2 014 consumer price inflation: 5.7 % average (down from 6.2% in 2014).
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: 2.0% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase to USD181.8bn in 2015, forecast to increase by an average of 3.1% annually between 2014/15 and 2017/18.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/924110_brazil_agribusiness_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

Industry Outlook

Corn output in Brazil will decline by 6.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014/15, to reach 74.0mn tonnes. The 2014/15 planting season is...

The Brazil Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Brazil Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.


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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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