Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q1 2015 - New Market Study Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Jan 14 2015

As the political and economic crisis in Ukraine continues, the construction sector is expected to contract by a forecasted 5.1% in 2015. Primary victim to increasing fiscal, economic and investment problems remains the infrastructure sector, being inherently dependent on governmental spending. Also, joint ventures with Russia in the transport and energy segments are subject to high uncertainty as political tensions continue. Value growth has been revised downward again for 2015, with only the residential and non-residential sub-sector potentially showing some form of minor growth.

Resurfacing violent unrest in the eastern and southern regions of the Ukraine and worsening relations with Russia keep a firm grip of Ukrainian politics and the economy.

Full Report Details at

Key Trends And Developments

* The country remains in economic freefall with high uncertainties regarding its security situation clouding the outlook for the market, inhibiting investment flows - foreign and domestic. BMI's Ukraine Country Risk analysts forecast double-digit inflation for 2015 (12%) paired with negative GDP growth of -3.4%.
* A subdued projects pipeline paired with currently planned projects suffering from uncertain funding due to severe governmental fiscal problems weighing heavily on investors' sentiment, provide a bleak overall outlook for the construction industry. Construction industry value is estimated to contract by more than 5% in real terms in 2015 on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis and infrastructure by close to 10%.
* Only sector growth forecasted for 2015 lies in the residential and non-residential sector, carried by unwavering growth in the former.
* Uncertainty over the continuation of Russian-Ukrainian joint ventures (JVs) prevails, including the Khmelnytsky nuclear power plant and the high-speed railway connection between Moscow and Kiev, with contradicting announcements made by both sides.

Our forecast period is likely to be subject to further revision as events unfold. If...

The Ukraine Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Ukraine Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Ukrainian infrastructure and construction industry.

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