"Central America Agribusiness Report Q1 2015" now available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Jan 26 2015

The Central America region continues to struggle with disease outbreaks in the coffee sector, which decimated the 2013 crop. We believe that coffee production will remain at risk over the next few years as the nature of subsistence farming will limit investment into safeguards. Countries in Central America are generally dependent on corn imports and we expect the corn production deficit to widen over our forecast period. Strength in the US dollar over this time frame will hurt the capital accounts of the region's countries. We expect Central America to remain self-sufficient in sugar and even increase its potential for sugar exports. The sugar industry has potential to attract investment over the medium term.

Key Forecasts

* Coffee production growth to 2017/18: 7.7% to 14.8mn bags. We believe the coffee sector will continue to battle with disease and weather problems. We see more potential for the sector in the long term due to government support schemes.
* Corn consumption growth to 2018: 12.0% to 6.8mn tonnes. Demand growth for corn will far outpace production in Central America, affecting prices and keeping the area import-dependent for its grain needs.
* Sugar production growth to 2017/18: 12.5% to 5.9mn tonnes. Most countries in the region will continue to run a small production surplus out to 2017/18, and development of the export industry could present upside risks to our production forecasts over the long term.
* 201 5 real GDP growth: 3. 3 % year-on-year (y-o-y). A moderate rise from 3.1% in 2014. Real GDP growth is predicted to average 3.4% between 2015 and 2018.
* Consumer price inflation: 4. 6 % y-o-y in 201 5 . An increase from 4.1% in 2014. Inflation is predicted to average 4.6% between 2015 and 2018.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/951088_central_america_agribusiness_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=301

Industry Outlook

We expect regional grains production growth to remain subdued in 2014/15 due to the low price of corn and soybean...

The Central America Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Central America Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.


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Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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