"Kenya Country Risk Report Q2 2015" Published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Feb 03 2015

Core Views

* The long-expected collapse of President Uhuru Kenyatta's trial at the ICC will ease tensions between Kenya and its Western allies, but could strain relations within the ruling party.
* The politicization of sharp ethnic divisions remains the key threat to Kenya's long-term political stability. Terrorism linked to Kenya's military involvement in Somalia is likely to remain a risk, but it does not pose a systemic threat to political stability.
* Kenya's tense security situation will not prevent economic growth from accelerating in 2015 and 2016. Consumer spending and capital investment will drive economic expansion, which will average 6.5% per year between 2015 and 2019.
* A combination of accelerating economic growth and systemic under spending by government agencies will cut Kenya's fiscal deficit from 5.5% of GDP in 2014/2015 to 4.8% in 2017/2018. Development spending will rise, but remain far below the government's targets.
* A sharp fall in oil prices will cut Kenya's current account deficit in 2015, which had been widened by weak tourism receipts. Low energy prices and accelerating economic diversification should help to narrow the shortfall over the medium term.
* Lower fuel and energy prices will limit Kenyan headline inflation in 2015. The country remains vulnerable to weather fluctuations; a serious drought would cut food production and send prices spiralling.
* The LAPSSET project will provide an economic boost for many communities across Kenya, and few will benefit as much as Isiolo. Hopes that the scheme will turn the impoverished backwater into a national hub are, however, unrealistically optimistic.
* Real GDP growth in Kenya will gradually accelerate over the coming next 10 years, averaging 6.5% between 2015 and 2024. While headline growth will be slower than in many African countries, Kenya's economy is relatively diversified, and growth will be broad-based and comparatively sustainable.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/951900_kenya_country_risk_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes

* Falling oil prices...

The Kenya Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in The Kenya and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of The Kenya's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of The Kenya's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.

About Fast Market Research

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

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