"Caucasus Country Risk Report Q2 2015" is now available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Feb 03 2015

Core Views

* Political tensions in the South Caucasus will remain high over the coming years as increased Russian intervention in Georgia's breakaway territories fuels concerns that Russia will attempt to annex Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Meanwhile, Azerbaijani-Armenian relations will remain strained over the frozen conflict surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh.
* The Armenian economy is likely to receive a short-term boost from its accession to the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) in January 2015. Membership of the EEU will facilitate trade and investment flows from Armenia's primary export destination and source of FDI, Russia. Nevertheless, in the long term we believe EEU membership will hold back Armenia's economic growth potential as the economy remains reliant on Russian demand.
* Georgian real GDP growth will remain relatively robust over the coming quarters as the finalising of an Association Agreement and Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement opens up the EU market for exporters. There is the risk that less inhibited trade with the EU sees the increase in imports outweigh the rise in exports, but in the long term we hold to our view that deeper integration with the EU will benefit the Georgian economy as European FDI flows increase.
* While Georgia has signed a number of agreements with the EU, fostering closer links between Tbilisi and Brussels, and Armenia is on course to join the EEU, tying the country into Russia's sphere of influence, we believe Azerbaijan will continue to tread a fine line between siding with either Russia or the EU. Azerbaijan's economic interests can be better served by increasing trade and energy routes with the EU, while maintaining good relations with Moscow will likely assist in keeping the autocratic regime of President Ilham Aliyev in power.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/951879_caucasus_country_risk_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes

* We have revised up our forecasts for real GDP growth in Georgia to 4.8% in 2015 and 4.6% in 2016, from 4.2% and 4.0% previously. The deals signed with the EU...

The Caucasus Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of the Caucasus' economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of the Caucasus' economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.

About Fast Market Research

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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