United States Country Risk Report Q2 2015 - New Report Available

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Feb 04 2015

Core Views

* The US economy is set to grow at a more rapid pace in 2015, supported by lower oil prices, a tightening labour market and improving sentiment. We forecast real GDP growth of 2.9% in 2015, up from an estimated 2.5% in 2014. Over the long term, global headwinds and a rebound in imports will cap real GDP growth below historical standards.
* A stronger real GDP growth outlook and a congress committed to reining in spending will see the US budget deficit continue to narrow in fiscal year 2015, to 2.7% of GDP. Beginning in 2016, the deficit will widen as rising interest rates increase debt servicing costs and mandatory spending obligations keep upward pressure on expenditures.
* The US current account deficit will continue to narrow marginally in 2015, as lower fuel costs cause the country's import bill to shrink. Export growth will pick up, but remain subdued by historical standards due to the sluggish global economy, particularly on the part of Europe.
* The US benchmark federal fund interest rate will remain on hold throughout H115, and will rise only modestly in H215, to our end-year target of 0.50%. Although the domestic economy's rebound is gaining steam and risks to our forecasts are now to the upside, downsides risks to global growth have risen, particularly with regards to the eurozone.
* Deep ideological divides between the White House and the two chambers of US Congress will limit the scope of policymaking over the final two years of Barack Obama's presidency. Nevertheless, as Obama seeks to establish his presidential legacy and Republicans seek to improve their own reputation, some areas of compromise, including on trade, modest tax reform and infrastructure spending, are within reach.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/951911_united_states_country_risk_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Revisions

* We have upgraded our 2015 GDP forecast to 2.9%, from 2.7% previously, due largely to the latest private consumption data which demonstrates continued gains, coupled with lower oil prices which will help further bolster the...

The United States Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in the United States and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of the United States' economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of the United States' economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts, we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased, expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

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