New Market Research Report: Ukraine Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Feb 11 2015

Despite ongoing tensions with Russia, Ukraine will see another strong grain harvest in 2014/15, although it will experience year-on-year decline due to the record harvests of 2013/14 . In our view, ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine will pose downside risks to exports as we could see disruption in transportation for the crop. Also, we see downside risks to our production outlook for grain, livestock and dairy on the back of deteriorating credit conditions in the country.

Key Forecasts

* Corn producti on growth 2012/13 to 2017/18: 29 . 9 % to 2 7.2 mn tonnes. We are turning more optimistic on the potential for output growth on the back of increased investment in the country. Ongoing tensions could put downside risks to this view however.
* Poultry consumption growth 2013 to 2018: 13.9% to 936,100 tonnes. Poultry demand will benefit from lower corn prices and its preferred status as a cheaper and healthier alternative to red meat.
* Milk production growth 2012/13 to 2017/18: 12.2% to 12.9mn tonnes. Over the medium term, consolidation and increased investment are expected to start to compensate for industry exits, with production rising steadily over the forecast period to 2017/18.
* 2014 real GDP growth: -8 .1 %, down from 0.0% in 2013. Predicted to average -0.9% from 2013 to 2018.
* 2014 consumer price inflation: 16.0% average, up from -0.3% in 2013.
* BMI univers e agribusiness market value: 7.6 % year-on- year (y-o-y) increase to USD24.1 bn in 2013/14, forecast to grow on average 2.9% annually between 2012/13 and 2017/18.

Full Report Details at

Industry Outlook

Russian President Vladimir Putin recently indicated that his government will not take retaliatory actions against Ukraine dairy products after sanitary authorities signalled much poorer quality sold from its neighbours on the back of the difficult operating conditions for dairy companies since the start...

The Ukraine Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Ukraine Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.


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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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