New Market Research Report: Poland Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Feb 17 2015

Positive Outlook for Freight Transport in Poland

We continue to predict growth for Polish freight transport in 2015. In most modes volumes will edge slightly ahead of the pace of expansion experienced in 2014. This will come on the back of slightly faster GDP and trade growth in the country. Some freight modes will have the additional benefit of increases in capacity or extra demand because of Poland's role as a gateway into north-eastern Europe. Reflecting the rapid development of its capacity, as well as its good business links, the port of Gdansk will see gross tonnage growth of 6.1%. Road freight will also do well, with cargo volume up by a healthy 4.8%.

Full Report Details at

We have edged up our outlook for the Polish economy relative to our last quarterly report, although we remain below consensus. We believe GDP will expand 3.2% in 2015 (3.1% previously) after estimated growth of 3.1% in 2014 (2.8% previously). One of the biggest drivers of growth is government spending ahead of parliamentary elections, expected in October. Before resigning to take a new post in the European Council, Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced a public spending package and we expect his successor Ewa Kopacz to honour this pledge. Household consumption is also positive although it has struggled to gain momentum. Exports are somewhat more under pressure, particularly as we have reined in our forecasts for Germany, a key Polish export market.

Headline Industry Data

* 2015 airfreight tonnage is expected to grow by 4.2% (up from an estimated 4.0% in 2014)
* 2015 rail freight is forecast to grow by 2.2%, after 1.4% growth estimated for the preceding year
* 2015 port of Gdansk bulk tonnage throughput is forecast to grow by 6.1% (marginally ahead of the 6.0% estimated for 2014)
* 2015 road freight is forecast to grow by 4.8%, after growth of 4.6% in 2014
* 2015 inland waterway freight is forecast to grow by 2.7% the same as in the preceding year)
* 2015 total real trade growth will accelerate to 11.9%, up...

The Poland Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Poland Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Polish freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.

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