Egypt Agribusiness Report Q2 2015: New research report available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Feb 18 2015

Egypt is the world's largest wheat importer and will benefit from the recent sell-off in grain prices. The country is in the process of refor ming its food subsidy programme in an effort to make the process more efficient. We believe that particularly good growth prospects exist in the country's livestock and dairy industries, as cattle herds continue to recover from a foot and mouth outbreak in 2012. These sectors will also benefit from lower global grain prices relative to the last several years, and an improving domestic economic situation.

Key Forecasts

* Wheat production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19 : 3.6% to 8.5 mn tonnes. This will largely be the result of government efforts to increase area planted and yields in the coming years.
* Sugar consumption growth to 2018 /19 : 10.3% to 3. 2 mn tonnes. This will be driven by growth in the local confectionery and soft drinks industries on the back of population and income growth.
* Poultry production growth to 2018/19 : 13.9% to 1.1mn tonnes. Poultry production will grow strongly due to high demand and development in poultry rearing methods.
* Real GDP growth: 3.0% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 201 5 (up from 2.2% y-o-y in 2014).
* Consumer inflation: average 7.6% y-o-y in 201 5 (up from 7.1% y-o-y in 2014).
* BMI U niverse A gribusiness M arket V alue: 1.1% y-o-y increase to USD28.6bn in 2014/15; forecast to increase on average 2.7% annually between 2014/15 and 2018/19.

Full Report Details at

Industry Outlook

Wheat production will marginally increase by 0.6% y-o-y in 2015/16 to 8.3mn tonnes, as low import prices from the Black Sea region and the EU will limit domestic production. Strong production in the aforementioned regions in 2014/15 has led to high stocks of the grain, while we also forecast historically good production in 2015/16. This will ensure that Egypt has a steady supply of wheat available to import. Corn imports...

The Egypt Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Egypt Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.


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