Report Published: "Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q2 2015"

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Mar 04 2015

The outlook remains dim for Ukraine's construction sector, with a fourth consecutive year of decline expect ed in 2015. Political and security unrest in the country continues, and i t remains to be seen whether the ceasefire agreed in February 2015 will gain any traction . Regardless of the progress made in the peace process the country's economy continues to face significant headwinds including a weak currency and lack of international investment , and the threat of a total economic collapse remains. Public spending on infrastructure is therefore under serious pressure, and despite a significant number of projects in the pipeline, ongoing delays and funding concerns mean we remain sceptical that any plans will come to fruition in the short term .

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Key Trends And Developments

* The country remains in economic freefall with high uncertainties regarding its security situation clouding the outlook for the market, inhibiting investment flows - foreign and domestic. BMI's Ukraine Country Risk analysts forecast real GDP will contract by 5.2% in 2015.
* Residential and non-residential construction value is estimated to contract by 4.5% in real terms in 2015 on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis and infrastructure industry value by 12%.
* Uncertainty over the continuation of Russian-Ukrainian joint ventures (JVs) prevails, including the Khmelnytsky nuclear power plant and the high-speed railway connection between Moscow and Kiev, with contradicting announcements made by both sides.
* The European Investment Bank (EIB) has provided a EUR200mn (USD242.57mn) loan for the rebuilding of roads, hospitals, railways, bridges, damaged public buildings and other social infrastructure in the country. The loan forms part of a EUR3bn (USD3.64bn) support package aimed at redeveloping the conflict-damaged eastern areas of the country.
* Our forecast period is likely to be subject to further revision as events unfold. If tensions do not ease, the sector could...

The Ukraine Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Ukraine Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Ukrainian infrastructure and construction industry.

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