Market Report, "Morocco Agribusiness Report Q2 2015", published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Mar 10 2015

Morocco's agriculture sector holds significant potential, particularly the dairy, poultry and sugar industries. The dairy sector benefits from growing interest from international dairy companies and is likely to enjoy strong growth in the coming years. In the livestock segment, we expect increased government support and investment - backed by strong domes tic demand - to help the industry to develop. However, the lack of investment in modern infrastructure will hamper production growth in the short ter m. We expect long-term production growth in the country's all important grain sector due to government support, but even with the record crops in 2013/14 the country remained a net importer. We expect this to continue over the long term.

Key Forecasts

* Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 33.9% to 5.2mn tonnes. This will come on the back of steady growth in the country's wheat demand, a result of strong economic growth. Increased planting and productivity gains will also help to support output. The spectacular growth rate is due to based effects following 2012/13's drop in production.

Full Report Details at

* Corn consumption growth to 2018: 17.3% to 2.5mn tonnes. Demand growth will mainly be driven by a steadily expanding domestic livestock sector.

* Milk production growth to 2017/18: 23.0% to 2.9mn tonnes. Sustained growth will come from the commercialisation of the dairy sector and the move to large-scale mechanisation. These trends will be enforced by rising consumer demand for value-added marketed dairy products

* 2015 r eal GDP growth: 4.0 %, up from 2.6% in 2014. We forecast GDP growth to average 3.8% between 2014 and 2018.

* 2015 c onsumer price inflation: 1.8 % average, up from 0.4% in 2014.

Key Developments

Morocco took a further step to curb its state subsidy programme in February 2014, ending subsidies for fuel oil and gasoline. Subsidies for diesel will...

The Morocco Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Morocco Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.

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