Market Report, "Russia Freight Transport Report Q2 2015", published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Sun Apr 12 2015

Following a year in which BMI saw mixed growth dynamics across Russia's freight transport sector, with volumes either declining or growth slowing in most of the freight modes, 2015 will signal a further slowdown as the country's economy is expected to contract and the main driver of growth over the past decade - household consumption - continues to weaken.

Total trade is estimated to have decreased by 0.75% in real terms in 2014. It is projected to pick up, with our Country Risk desk forecasting a y-o-y increase of 3.0% in 2015.

Rail freight is to continue to dominate the sector in terms of turnover, which is projected to decline by 4% in 2015. We are seeing a consolidation of players in this freight transport mode, with major mining and steel producing firms selling their transport subsidiaries and major private logistics players developing in Russia's rail freight system.

Full Report Details at

Headline Industry Data

* 2015 Air freight is expected to decrease by 2%
* 2015 Rail freight is forecast to decrease by 3.5%
* 2015 Port of St Petersburg throughput is forecast to grow by 1%
* 2015 Road freight is forecast to decrease by 5.4%
* 2015 Inland waterway freight is forecast to decrease by 1.8%
* 2015 Total real trade growth is forecast at 3%.

Key Industry Trends

Uptick in Cargo Tonnage at Vostochny - Cargo tonnage at the port Vostochny will continue to expand in 2015, on the back of robust growth in Russia's coal exports via the Far Eastern port. BMI forecasts cargo tonnage to increase in 2015 to 22.7mn tonnes, based on an upward revision to our estimates for 2014.

Russia's Role in China's Export Supply Chains to Increase- Russia-China cooperation on the expansion of the Russian port in Zarubino will see Russia play a larger role in China's logistics sector. The expansion will shorten transit times for exports from the corn-rich Jilin region close to the border port and will increase Russia's role in China's agricultural supply chain.

DB Schenker's Europe-China Rail Service...

The Russia Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

BMI Research's Russia Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Russian freight transport and logistics industry.

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