"Japan Power Report 2015" is now available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Aug 31 2015


Our view that reactors will start to go online in 2015 is still very much in play. We expect roughly 20 reactors to come online by the end of our forecast period in 2024, accounting for around 10% of the generation mix. The risks to this view lie largely in the continued strong public opposition to nuclear energy. Additionally, growing renewable fleet will add an upside to Japanese power output .

At the time of writing all 50 of Japan's nuclear reactors are offline, but Shinzo Abe's commitment to nuclear energy will see the first reactors return to the grid in 2015. Japan has faced significant financial implications from switching off nuclear and consequently having to rely more heavily on costly imported diesel and liquefied natural gas (LNG) to fill the nuclear void.

We believe that nuclear restarts will begin by the end of 2015 (specifically the restarting of the Sendai 1&2 reactors), and then continue gradually over the next decade, with between one and three reactors coming back online through to 2024. Overall, we expect roughly 20 reactors to be restarted, representing around 10% of the generation mix in Japan (still a noticeable reduction on the 27% contribution made by nuclear before the disaster). This accounts for just over 46% of the total operable reactors in Japan. Nonetheless, traditional thermal fuels and renewable generation will continue to play an important part in the Japan's power sector.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1032034_japan_power_report_2015.aspx?afid=301

The plunge in global crude oil prices has lowered the cost of oil-linked LNG supplies and helped to reduce Japan's import bill. The return of nuclear energy will provide further relief to utilities, especially with much of the contracted LNG volumes to Japan still priced at a premium to spot prices. Still, the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) estimates that power generated from imported fuels will continue to be more expensive than indigenous nuclear generation.

Critical developments in Japan's power sector include:

The Japan Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Japan Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Japan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
* Target business opportunities and risks Japan's power sector

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