Just Published: "Germany Country Risk Report Q4 2015"

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon Aug 31 2015

With the household consumption outlook looking increasingly positive, the long-awaited rebalancing of the German economy away from net exports and toward domestic demand has gotten underway.

Though it is becoming more balanced, Germany's economy will continue to be characterised by very high net savings rates for both the private and public sectors, which will continue to hinder the eurozone's growth trajectory.

While we believe Germany's current account surplus will peak in 2015 on the back of lower oil prices, the narrowing of the surplus over the next five years will be limited by tight fiscal policy.

We expect German foreign policy to become increasingly isolationist over the next few years, driven by the declining global influence of the US, changing attitudes of a younger generation and fatigue with the lack of reform among eurozone states.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1038733_germany_country_risk_report.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes

We have raised our German real GDP growth forecasts to 2.0% in 2015 (from 1.9%), and to 2.0% in 2016 (from 1.7%).

With revenue growing strongly alongside improving economic expansion, we have raised our forecast for the 2015 budget surplus to 0.6% of GDP from 0.3%.

Key Risks To Outlook

On the external front, a Greek default and/or exit from the eurozone would severely damage confidence and would almost certainly cause a downturn in euro area activity, no matter how well the financial ramifications are contained.

Domestically, the country's first nationwide minimum wage was implemented in January 2015, and its effects could be both positive and negative for consumption, with some low-paying jobs likely to be eliminated, but with some jobs enjoying wage increases.

The Germany Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Germany. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Germany's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Germany's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Germany's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Germany, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.


About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts, we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased, expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156 (1.413.485.7001 Int'l)

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001

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