Vietnam Infrastructure Report Q4 2015 - New Report Available

We maintain a positive outlook for Vietnam's construction sector and expect growth to be underpinned by an improving regulatory environment, favourable monetary conditions and a strengthening economy, with the transport sector being a key driver. We highlight that our forecasts still represents a slowdown from previous years due to a challenging business environment that will hinder investment over the coming quarters.

Key Trends And Developments

We maintain a positive outlook for Vietnam's construction sector and expect real growth of 5.9% in 2015 and to average 6.1% per annum between 2015-2019. This is slower than the 10-year historical average growth rate of 7.1% between 2004 and 2013.

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Positive reform momentum as seen in the new Decree regarding Public-Private Parterships (Decree 15/2015/ND-CP) as well as implementation of the 2014 Investment Law will help facilitate private investment and also boost FDI.

We expect monetary easing by the State Bank of Vietnam (rate cuts to 6.0%) to provide greater liquidity and lower cost of capital for construction companies, also increasing business activity.

Expectations of stronger GDP growth in 2015 also bode well for the financial viability of construction projects. Sustained growth in manufacturing activity and easing of foreign property ownership regulations will boost residential and non-residential construction.

We highlight growth will still not be at full potential, largely owing to the long implementation period required before reforms can have a significant impact on the sector.

Transport will remain a key area of focus for the government, given a severe transport infrastructure deficit. Road construction will be a bright spot in the segment as the government aims to resolve congestion in major cities. We also see opportunities in the airport segment.

The Vietnam Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Vietnam Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Vietnamese infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Vietnam to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Vietnamese infrastructure market.
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