Just Published: "Brazil Shipping Report Q4 2015"

Although we expect to see total trade growth fall by 8.12% in 2015, Brazil ' s top export product, iron ore, is set to grow in 2015-2019, reaching 461mnt in 2019, providing momentum for the country ' s shipping in dustry as a result. Leading the way in year-on-year (y-o-y) box throughput terms will be the port of Itajai (14.7 %), while in the tonnage sphere, the port of Suape (18. 6 %).

Vale's shipping competitiveness will be supported by lower shipping costs for the iron ore industry as a whole. Fuel costs make up around 70.0% of total shipping costs and will decrease on the back of lower fuel prices, boosting shippers. In our view, lower fuel prices will limit shipping cost's importance in terms of overall costs, as lower fuel prices will decrease the spread between Australian and Brazilian shipping costs in absolute terms.

We see the current account deficit peaking in 2015, at 4.7% of GDP and it will gradually narrow in subsequent years on the back of a modestly brighter outlook for goods exports, due in part to rising oil exports, still-tepid goods imports, and a stabilisation of the services deficit.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1038223_brazil_shipping_report_q4.aspx?afid=301

Key Industry Forecasts

Total tonnage throughput at the port of Santos to grow 6.88% in 2015 to reach 118.81mn tonnes.

Container throughput at Santos to grow 6.54% to reach 3.93mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in 2015.

Total tonnage throughput at the port of Itajai to increase 9.36% in 2015 to reach 13.59mn tonnes.

Container throughput at the port of Itajai to grow 14.66% to reach 1.25mn TEUs in 2015.

Key Industry Trends

The Brazil Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Brazil.

BMI's Brazil Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Brazil.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Brazil to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Brazilian shipping market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in Brazil through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
* Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS

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