Peru Agribusiness Report Q4 2015: New research report available at Fast Market Research

Our outlook for Peru's agricultural sector remains positive. Export crops such as coffee and cocoa are hampered by a lack of infrastructure and investment, but there is scope for strong growth in both, particularly as Peru is becoming increasingly recognised for organic and speciality crops. The country is set to ben efit from cheaper food imports owing to the lower price of grains as well as the weakness in the Argentine peso, from where it imports a great deal of its grain. Grain production growth over the coming years will hampered by this dynamic.

Key Forecasts

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Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 19.7% to 1.5mn tonnes. Ongoing investment and the availability of cheaper imported feed will support growth in the sector.
Sugar consumption growth to 2019: 10 .7% to 1. 4 mn tonnes. Low sugar prices and the rapid expansion of the local confectionery and soft drinks sector will see demand for sugar expand in the coming years.
BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD12. 1 bn in 2015 (increase of 1.1% y-o-y on 2014; forecast to grow annually by 3.1% on average from 2014/15 to 2018/19).
2015 real GDP growth: 3. 8 % , up from 2.4% in 2014.
2015 consumer price index: 2.5 % year-on-year (y-o-y) average, down from 3.2% in 2014.

Industry Developments

Depreciation of the Argentine peso over the coming years will benefit importers of Argentine agricultural products, particularly grain importers. Soybean hoarding by Argentine farmers will continue to increase and we expect an increase in grains hoarding over coming years. A depreciating Argentine peso will result in cheaper grain imports for key import markets, such as China and Latin American neighbours. Cheaper grains will also benefit the livestock industries in these countries, as cheaper feed costs could translate into higher profit margins and increased consumption.

The Peru Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Peru Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

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