Newly released market study: Israel Country Risk Report Q4 2015

Political risks remain elevated despite truce between Israel and Islamist group Hamas in 2014, as highlighted by protracted violence since the ceasefire. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu controls a coalition with a majority of just one seat in the Knesset and it is likely that it will not be able to see out its four year term. The economy will experience a modest pickup in growth over the coming quarters, driven mainly by private consumption.

Major Forecast Changes

We have revised our interest rate outlook to the downside, given that inflation will likely reach just 1% by the end of 2015. As a result, the Bank of Israel will maintain its policy rate at 0.10% until the end of 2015, and gradually hike it in 2016 to reach 0.50% by the end of the year.

Key Risks To Outlook

A delay in the Fed hiking its policy rate would lead to the shekel appreciating sooner than we anticipate. The export sector - which accounts for 35% of GDP - would suffer from a strengthening currency.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1052865_israel_country_risk_report_q4.aspx?afid=301

The ultra-Orthodox push to roll back on reforms implemented in the previous years could lead to the long-term fiscal outlook being significantly weakened in addition to lowering productivity growth in the long-run.

The Israel Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Israel. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Israel's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, BMI  Research.

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Israel's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Israel's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Israel, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Israel Country Risk Report by BMI  Research includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Operational Risk and Key Sector Outlook.

Economic Outlook:

How will the Israel' economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2015-2019?

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